In a speech at the European Banking Congress, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel warned against any premature easing of the tight monetary policy currently in place in the euro area. “According to Bundesbank model estimates, the tightening can be expected to have its maximum impact on economic activity in 2023 already, and on inflation only in 2024,” he said at the event in Frankfurt am Main. In other words, much of the inflation-dampening effect induced by monetary tightening is yet to materialise.

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