It is often said that industry in oil-importing countries is especially hard hit when oil prices climb. However, a new study reveals that the manufacturing sector actually often does well during episodes of elevated oil prices. This is because, from a global perspective, that particular sector is a driving force behind oil price movements. The manufacturing sector’s healthy performance thus bolsters the economy of oil-importing countries in times of rising oil prices. Conversely, industry often exerts negative effects when oil prices fall.

The June 2022 edition of the Monthly Report outlines the outlook for the German economy for 2022 to 2024 and lays out long-term scenarios and options for reforming the pension insurance scheme. Furthermore, it analyses both bracket creep in income tax rates and the current developments and challenges facing public finances in the euro area. The report concludes with an article on the survey of firms conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank and how it is used to assess the financial situation of the corporate sector.