German economic activity likely grew strongly in the second quarter, largely offsetting the severe setback it suffered in the first quarter, the Bundesbank writes in its current Monthly Report. The services sector in particular contributed to the considerable recovery. Inflation is likely to rise as the year progresses.

German economic activity remained weak in the final quarter of 2019. Industry was the main factor weighing on aggregate output towards the end of the year, the Bundesbank’s economists write in the most recent edition of their Monthly Report. House price inflation in Germany lessened last year.

Germany’s current account recorded a surplus of €24.3 billion in December 2022, up €6.9 billion on the previous month’s level. While the surplus in the goods account actually decreased, the surplus in invisible current transactions, which comprise services as well as primary and secondary income, experienced a considerably stronger increase.

Economic output in Germany declined in the first quarter of this year, according to the latest edition of the Bundesbank’s Monthly Report. Many services sectors suffered larger losses than in the previous quarter due to containment measures being tightened and prolonged. In addition, the upturn in industrial output was not sustained in the first two months.

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