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Monthly Report – December 2025 Vol. 77 No 12
The Bundesbank’s Forecast for Germany, which provides an outlook on how the German economy is likely to develop in the near future, will be published in the December 2025 edition of the Monthly Report. A second article describes the acceptance of cash in various economic sectors in Germany. In addition, current developments in the card payment market in Germany are discussed within the context of the shift that is occurring in cashless payments. The fourth and final article analyses the profitability and financing of German enterprises in 2024.
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Forecasting with log-linear (S)VAR models: Incorporating annual growth rate conditions Discussion paper 35/2025: Frieder Mokinski, Markus Roth
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Seasonally adjusted business statistics Tables of the Statistical Series
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International investment position and external debt Tables of the Statistical Series
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Local peer effects and corporate investment Discussion paper 34/2025: Yangming Bao, Martin R. Goetz
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Kosten von Zahlungsmitteln im Einzelhandel
Die vorliegende Studie untersucht die Kosten, die durch den Einsatz von Bargeld und bargeldlosen Bezahlverfahren im stationären Einzelhandel und in verwandten Branchen entstehen.
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Zusammenfassung der geldpolitischen Sitzung des Rates der Europäischen Zentralbank am 29.-30. Oktober 2025
402 KB, PDF
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Shaping the financial cycle through monetary policy Discussion paper 33/2025: Martin Kliem, Norbert Metiu
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Monthly Report – November 2025 Vol. 77 No 11
The November 2025 edition of the Monthly Report comments on the economic situation in Germany in autumn 2025.
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Statistical Series International investment position and external debt November 2025
5 MB, PDF
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Product Environmental Footprint (PEF)-Studie für Euro-Banknoten als Zahlungsmittel im Bargeldkreislauf für Deutschland
2 MB, PDF
Der Banknotenumlauf in Deutschland hat einen geringen ökologischen Fußabdruck. Das ist das Ergebnis einer Studie im Auftrag der Deutschen Bundesbank. Die Studie untersucht, wie sich die Ausgabe, Verteilung, Nutzung und Entsorgung von Euro-Banknoten auf die Umwelt auswirken.
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Money Market Statistical Reporting – MMSR (German Part) – Data Report 2025-15 – Metadata Version 4-0 Patrick Felka, Christian Hirsch
363 KB, PDF
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Empirical findings on upper-level aggregation issues in the HICP Julika Herzberg, Thomas A. Knetsch, Dilyana Popova, Jannik Schaller, Patrick Schwind, Sebastian Weinand
1 MB, PDF
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How the debt brake could be developed further A Bundesbank contribution to the reform debate
Germany’s fiscal rules were fundamentally reformed in March. Extensive scope for borrowing now exists to address the major challenges in the areas of defence and infrastructure. This is appropriate on a temporary basis. However, because there is unlimited scope to borrow for defence spending, neither sound government finances nor compliance with the EU rules are guaranteed over the longer term. Also, the preferential status accorded to government investment within the scope for borrowing is only temporary. The following proposal to reform the debt brake addresses both of these issues.
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A simple model of geopolitical risk and sanctions Discussion paper 32/2025: Vivien Lewis, Sirikorn Puangjit
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IFS-Base – Data Report 2025-16 – Metadata Version 8-1 Michaela Igel, Rene Keifenheim, Miriam Krüger, Ece Yalcin-Roder
224 KB, PDF
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Financial Stability Review 2025
The risks to the German financial system have increased. The Financial Stability Review 2025 sees challenges from geopolitical tensions, trade conflicts and rising government debt.
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Do capital requirements and their international differences affect banks‘ profitability? Discussion paper 31/2025: Manuel Buchholz, Axel Loeffler, Patrick Sigel
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Benefits of SCT Inst for Public Administrations
5 MB, PDF
Information of the ECB on potential benefits for public administrations of using instant payments.
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Statistical Series International investment position and external debt October 2025
5 MB, PDF
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Monthly Report – October 2025 Vol. 77 No 10
In the October 2025 Monthly Report, one article looks at the finances of the European Union, examining Member States’ financial relationships with the EU in 2024 as well as the multiannual financial framework for the period from 2028 to 2034. In another article, authors analyse the effects of global uncertainty on international portfolio flows.
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Regional loan market structure, bank lending rates and monetary transmission Discussion paper 30/2025: Sebastian Bredl
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Social trading, correlated retail investing and non-fundamental speculation Discussion paper 29/2025: David Russ
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