Transition risk is the risk arising from the economy’s shift towards net-zero carbon emissions. Applying a novel methodology, we find that large unanticipated increases to transition risk are predominantly related to political events and can have notable macroeconomic consequences. Interestingly, in the short run these shocks do not uniformly generate inflationary pressure, challenging the prevalent notion of “greenflation.” Finally, our results highlight an important role for country-specificities, suggesting, for instance, that there may also be economic benefits attached to the transition. Overall, while international policy coordination is essential, these findings underscore the importance of tailoring policy interventions to each nation's unique economic context.

26. – 27.06.2024 | 8th Annual Macroprudential Conference | Eltville am Rhein

The April 2023 Monthly Report describes the relationship between money market conditions and the remuneration of government deposits. It also presents the results of the new household wealth survey. In addition, it discusses the impact of the current crises on international payments and how sustainability risks are factored into banking supervision.