Transition risk is the risk arising from the economy’s shift towards net-zero carbon emissions. Applying a novel methodology, we find that large unanticipated increases to transition risk are predominantly related to political events and can have notable macroeconomic consequences. Interestingly, in the short run these shocks do not uniformly generate inflationary pressure, challenging the prevalent notion of “greenflation.” Finally, our results highlight an important role for country-specificities, suggesting, for instance, that there may also be economic benefits attached to the transition. Overall, while international policy coordination is essential, these findings underscore the importance of tailoring policy interventions to each nation's unique economic context.

In der aktuellen Ausgabe informieren wir Sie unter anderem über den digitalen Euro, neue Technologien für die Abwicklung DLT-basierter Transaktionen in Zentralbankgeld, den Start von ECMS im November 2024 sowie über 20 Jahre AK ZVS. 

Prof. Dr. Axel A. Weber, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Speech at the UCL Economics and Finance Society