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Guido Schultefrankenfeld

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Guido Schultefrankenfeld

Research Interests

Central Bank Forecasting and Communication
Empirical Monetary Economics

Refereed Publications
Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting? Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2022 | Journal of Monetary Economics (incl. Issues on the Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy), Vol. 129(S), pp. 52-66.

Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC Schultefrankenfeld G.

2020 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 58, pp. 223-255.

Assessing the uncertainty in central banks inflation outlooks Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2019 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 35(4), pp. 1748-1769.

Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2017 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 53(1), pp. 195-215.

Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of Englands interest rate decisions Schultefrankenfeld G.

2013 | Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 17(1), pp. 1-20.

How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks? Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2012 | International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 8(3), pp. 87-139.
Other Working Papers and Publications
Forceful or Persistent: How the ECB's New Inflation Target Affects Households' Inflation Expectations Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2024 | SUERF Policy Brief.

Words speak louder than numbers: Central bank communication in times of high inflation Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2022 | CEPR.

The effects of the ECB's new inflation target on private households' inflation expectations Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2021 | CEPR.

Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting? Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2021 | CEPR DP. No. 16786.

Clear, consistent and engaging: ECB monetary policy communication in a changing world Glöckler G., Holton S., Assenmacher K., Hoffmann M., Hürtgen P., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G., Trautmann P.

2021 | Occasional Paper Series No. 274.

The ECB’s price stability framework: past experience, and current and future challenges Coenen G., Gerke R., Hoffmann M., Hürtgen P., Kienzler D., Le Bihan H., Mönch E., Motto R., Pavlova L., Scheer A., Schultefrankenfeld G., Weber H.

2021 | Occasional Papers No. 269.
Presentations
- 2021: 24th Central Bank Macroeconomic Modeling Workshop (online, CHL); TU Berlin 11th International Workshop on Theoretical and Experimental Macroeconomics (online, DEU); 27th International Conference Computing in Economics and Finance (online, JPN); 52nd Annual Conference of the Money, Macro and Finance Society (online, GBR)
- 2018: International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting (Granada, ESP); 1st Vienna Workshop on Economic Forecasting (Vienna, AUT)
- 2017: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Conference on Central Bank Forecasting (St. Louis (MO), USA); Jahrestagung Verein für Socialpolitik (Vienna, AUT); 17th International Symposium on Forecasting (Cairns, AUS)
- 2015: 15th International Symposium on Forecasting (Riverside (CA), USA)
- 2014: 20th Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (Oslo, NOR); Joint workshop of Norgesbank and Bundesbank (Oslo, NOR)
- 2013: Money Macro and Finance Annual Conference (London, GBR); Annual Congress of the European Economic Association (Gothenburg, SWE)
- 2012: 18th Conference on Computing in Economics and Finance (Prague, CZE); 7.Workshop Makroökonomik und Konjunktur, ifo Institute (Dresden, GER)
- 2011: OeNB-SNB-Bundesbank Workshop (Brunnen, CHE)
- 2010: 5.Workshop Makroökonomik und Konjunktur, ifo Institute (Dresden, GER); 11th IWH-CIREQ Macroeconometric Workshop (Halle, GER)
- 2009: University of Siegen Research Colloquium (Siegen, GER); MAGKS PhD Colloquium University of Gießen (Gießen, GER)
- 2008: Jahrestagung Verein für Socialpolitik (Graz, AUT).
Discussion Papers
Forceful or persistent: How the ECB’s new inflation target households’ inflation expectations Discussion paper 27/2023: Mathias Hoffmann, Emanuel Moench, Lora Pavlova, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

25.10.2023 27/2023 | 701 KB, PDF

Would households understand average inflation targeting? Discussion paper 17/2022: Mathias Hoffmann, Lora Pavlova, Emanuel Moench, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

30.05.2022 17/2022 | 1 MB, PDF

Assessing the uncertainty in central banks‘ inflation outlooks Discussion paper 56/2018: Malte Knüppel, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

25.01.2019 56/2018 | 641 KB, PDF

Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC Discussion paper 39/2017: Guido Schultefrankenfeld

29.12.2017 398/2017 | 585 KB, PDF

The empirical (ir)relevance of the interest rate assumption for central bank forecasts Discussion paper 11/2013: Malte Knüppel, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

19.04.2013 11/2013 | 681 KB, PDF

Evaluating macroeconomic risk forecasts Discussion paper 14/2011: Malte Knüppel, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

27.06.2011 14/2011 | 236 KB, PDF

How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks? Discussion paper 13/2011: Malte Knüppel, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

24.06.2011 13/2011 | 405 KB, PDF

Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England interest rate decisions Discussion paper 27/2010: Guido Schultefrankenfeld

30.12.2010 27/2010 | 352 KB, PDF

How informative are macroeconomic risk forecasts? An examination of the Bank of England’s inflation forecasts Discussion paper 14/2008: Malte Knüppel, Guido Schultefrankenfeld

04.08.2008 14/2008 | 551 KB, PDF

Contact

© privat

Dr Guido Schultefrankenfeld Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre

+49 69 9566-38727

Address

Wilhelm-Epstein-Straße 14
60431 Frankfurt am Main
Germany

Curriculum Vitae

Economist in the Research Centre since January 2012

27.02.2018 | 89 KB, PDF

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