The macroeconomic environment is being shaped by the interest rate reversal and heightened uncertainty. So far, the German financial system has coped well with the rise in interest rates over the last year, but the effects of this rise have not yet fully materialised. Structural change in the economy is also likely to further increase credit risk.

The current good earnings situation is enabling institutions to further strengthen their capital base and thus their resilience to adverse developments,said Claudia Buch, Vice-President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, at the presentation of the 2023 Financial Stability Review. Even in adverse scenarios, financial institutions should have sufficient levels of capital and liquidity to be able to absorb shocks on their own. Resilience, noted Vice-President Buch, would also require investment in IT infrastructure in order to be equipped to deal with cyber risks.

Die Europäische Zentralbank (EZB) hat heute ihren Finanzstabilitätsbericht vom November 2023 veröffentlicht. Dem Bericht zufolge sind die Aussichten für die Finanzstabilität im Euroraum nach wie vor fragil, da die restriktiveren Finanzierungsbedingungen in einem Umfeld schwachen Wachstums, hoher Inflation und erhöhter geopolitischer Spannungen zunehmend auf die Realwirtschaft durchwirken.

Statistical reports relating to the external sector comprise incoming and outgoing payments (transactions) as well as the status of claims, liabilities and direct investment.

The German economy is set to recover only arduously from the period of weakness that has persisted since the outbreak of Russia’s war against Ukraine, write the Bundesbank’s experts in the Monthly Report. The industrial sector is still up against difficult conditions, and households’ mood for spending remained subdued in the third quarter. The experts do not expect economic output to see slight growth again until the first quarter of 2024.

In early 2000, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) initiated the Financial Soundness Indicators (FSI) project in response to the financial market crises of the late 1990s.