The Deutsche Bundesbank conducts regular surveys of households’ expectations for unemployment, economic growth, rent prices, real estate prices, and interest rates on savings and loans. These data are used to calculate index figures, from which corresponding trends can be easily derived.

In May, households expected their net household income to rise by an average of around €105 over the next 12 months. Their income growth expectations were thus €20 higher than in the previous month. Expectations still vary significantly when broken down by factors such as household income, gender and, in particular, age group. The median remains constant at €125. This can be explained by the fact that a large share of individuals have considered income growth of between €0 and €250 to be most likely each month since this survey was launched.

The following datasets have been updated by the RDSC and are now available for research projects:
CSDB, BISTA, BOP-F, GuV, AUSTA, BOP-HH, PFH, SHS-Base plus

Handelspolitische Spannungen können Marktakteure verunsichern und so wirtschaftliche Aktivitäten hemmen: Unter Umständen zögern Unternehmen mit Investitionen, oder Haushalte stellen größere Anschaffungen zurück. Doch wie lässt sich Unsicherheit überhaupt messen? Der aktuelle Monatsbericht der Bundesbank beleuchtet die damit verbundenen Herausforderungen und hinterfragt die Aussagekraft von Unsicherheitsindikatoren, die auf der Analyse von Zeitungsartikeln beruhen.