Research Brief
This publication by the Bundesbank Research Centre provides regular news about recent studies and discussion papers by Bundesbank research economists.
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© Alexander Kirch / Getty ImagesClimate change concerns and actions – Can provision of information motivate people to fight climate change? Research Brief | 47th edition – May 2022
Are individuals concerned enough about climate change to change their behavior and bear additional costs as a consequence? How can they be motivated to fight climate change? A Bundesbank survey conducted between April 2020 and December 2021 shows that people are more concerned about climate change than about the state of the economy. During most of the ongoing pandemic, only the coronavirus was of a higher concern. While people who rate climate change as a serious issue are also more willing to take on additional costs to help fight climate change, providing information on ways to reduce carbon emissions further increases their willingness to do so.
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© picture alliance / dpaWhy central banks should aim for a positive inflation target Research Brief | 46th edition – May 2022
The rate of inflation has a bearing on the relative price of individual products and therefore on demand for those products. Using new micro price data, we investigate how high the optimal inflation rate must be to prevent relative product demand from being distorted. Contradicting a common claim, we find that the optimal rate is not zero for a large part of the euro area, but is, in fact, clearly in positive territory.
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© Daniel Kalker / picture allianceThe impact of EU immigration on labour market outcomes in Germany over the past decade Research Brief | 45th edition – March 2022
In the mid-2010s, wages in Germany recorded comparatively weak growth while employment was surprisingly strong. A new study examines how immigration in the context of EU free movement of workers, in particular from the “new” Central and Eastern European Member States, contributed to these developments on the German labour market.
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© Nils ThiesIdentifying Indicators of Systemic Risk Research Brief | 44th edition – December 2021
In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, a consensus rapidly emerged that systemic risk – a central concept in financial stability – needed to be contained going forward. However, to this day experts cannot agree on how to even measure systemic risk in the first place. In the past few years, researchers have proposed a plethora of indicators, making matters more difficult for policymakers. Our study proposes an analytical approach designed to lend structure to this universe of indicators for measuring systemic risk.
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© Daniel Bockwoldt / dpaThe effects of the ECB’s new inflation target on private households’ inflation expectations Research Brief | 43rd edition – November 2021
Is there a difference between the inflation expectations of private households in Germany formed under the ECB’s previous target definition of “below, but close to, 2%” and those under the new inflation target of “symmetrically 2%”? New survey results from the Bundesbank Online Panel Households (BOP-HH) show that the new inflation target is associated with moderately higher inflation expectations for the next two to three years. The differences become more accentuated when the respondents are also told that the new monetary policy strategy entails the possibility of inflation exceeding the target.