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Dr. Ursula Vogel

Dr. Ursula Vogel
Dr. Dominik Menno

Dr. Dominik Menno
Refereed Publications
Shock amplification in an interconnected financial system of banks and investment funds Covi G., Deipenbrock M., del Vecchio L., Fiedor P., Fukker G., Gehrend M., Gourdel R., Grassi A., Schilte A., Sydow M., Tente N.

2024 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 71, 101234.

M-PRESS-CreditRisk: Microprudential and Macroprudential Capital Requirements for Credit Risk under Systemic Stress Tente N., von Westernhagen N., Slopek U.

2019 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 54(7), pp. 1923-1961.

European Banking Union D: Cross-Border Resolution – Dexia Group Metrick A., Tente N., Wiggins R.

2019 | Journal of Financial Crises, Vol. 1(3), pp. 172-188.

European Banking Union C: Cross-Border Resolution – Fortis Group Metrick A., Tente N., Wiggins R.

2019 | Journal of Financial Crises, Vol. 1(3), pp. 150-171.

Basel III D: Swiss Finish to Basel III McNamara C., Metrick A., Tente N.

2019 | Journal of Financial Crises, Vol. 1(4), pp. 81-90.

Systemic Risk Contributions: A Credit Portfolio Approach Düllmann K., Puzanova N.

2013 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 37(4), pp. 1243-1257.

Approximate Value-at-Risk Calculation for Heterogeneous Loan Portfolios: Possible Enhancements of Basel II Methodology Puzanova N., Siddiqui S., Trede M.

2009 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 5(4), pp. 374-392.

Default Dependence among Corporate Bond Issuers: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Data Siddiqui S., Puzanova N.

2006 | Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 1(5), pp. 297-302.

Default Dependence among Corporate Bond Issuers: Empirical Evidence from Time Series Data Puzanova N., Siddiqui S.

2005 | Applied Financial Economics Letters, Vol. 1(5), pp. 297-302.
Refereed Publications
International Banking and Cross-Border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from Germany Ohls J., Pramor M., Tonzer L.

2017 | International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 13(S1), pp. 129-162.

On the exposure of insurance companies to sovereign risk: Portfolio investments and market forces Düll R., König F., Ohls J.

2017 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 31, pp. 93-106.

Banks and sovereign risk: A granular view Buch C., Koetter M., Ohls J.

2016 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 25, pp. 1-15.
Dr. Jana Ohls

Dr. Jana Ohls
Dr. Ulrich Krüger

Dr. Ulrich Krüger
Dr. Peter Bednarek

Dr. Peter Bednarek
Refereed Publications
Bank's strategic interaction, adverse price dynamics and systemic liquidity risk Krüger U., Roling C., Silbermann L., Wong L.

2025 | Journal of Banking Regulation, Vol. 26, pp. 1-24.

The credit quality channel: Modeling contagion in the interbank market Fink K., Krüger U., Meller B., Wong L.

2016 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 25, pp. 83-97.

Structural Aspects of ordered polymatroids Krüger U.

2000 | Discrete Applied Mathematics 99, Elsevier Science Publishers.
Dr. Till Förstemann

Dr. Till Förstemann
Other Working Papers and Publications
The Impact of the New Regulatory Framework Cannata F., Krüger U.

2011 | Chapter 13 in: Basel III and Beyond: A Guide to Banking Regulation after the Crisis. Risk Books. Editors: Francesco Cannata and Mario Quagliariello.

Procyclicality: discussion related to potential extensions of Basel II framework Festic M., Krüger U.

2009 | The Journal of Money and Banking – Bančni vestnik, Journal of the Banking Association of Slovenia, Vol. 58, No. 11, Ljubljana.

Data need for stress-testing Cannata F., Krüger U.

2009 | Chapter 6 in: Stress-testing the Banking System: Methodologies and Applications. Cambridge University Press, Editor: Mario Quagliariello.

Determinants of capital adequacy and procyclicality Krüger U., Festic M.

2008 | The Journal of Money and Banking – Bančni vestnik, Journal of the Banking Association of Slovenia, Vol. 57, No. 11, Ljubljana.

An extreme point theorem for ordered polymatroids on chain orders Krüger U.

1996 | Séminaire Lotharingien de Combinatoire 36, 1996.
Other Publications
Deutscher Interbankenmarkt ist sehr effizient Bednarek P., te Kaat D.

2023 | Börsen-Zeitung Nr. 151, p. 7.

Exchange Rate Devaluations and Local Business Cycles: The Role of Bank Loan Supply Beck T., Bednarek P., te Kaat D., von Westernhagen N.

2022 | VoxEU column.
Awards
- FMA Best Paper Award 2018 (European Conference) in “Financial Institutions & Markets”
Research Brief
Germany's interbank market during the 2007-08 crisis Research Brief | 8th edition – December 2016

07.12.2016 Central Office, Directorate General Financial Stability Peter Bednarek, Valeriya Dinger, Central Office, Directorate General Financial Stability Natalja von Westernhagen
Dr. Nikolay Hristov

Dr. Nikolay Hristov
Stressed banks? Evidence from the largest-ever supervisory review Abbassi P., Iyer R., Peydró J., Soto P.E.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar
Dr. Matthias Köhler

Dr. Matthias Köhler
Dr. Puriya Abbassi

Dr. Puriya Abbassi
Other Working Papers and Publications
Ertragssteigerung für Genossenschaftsbanken und Sparkassen Köhler M.

2015 | bank und markt, 7, 30-33.

Provisionseinkommen: Alternative Einnahmequelle von Retailbanken Köhler M.

2014 | BankPraktiker, 9, 326-328.

Bank Owners or Bank Managers: Who is Keen on Risk? Evidence From the Financial Crisis Köhler M., Gropp R.

2010 | ZEW Discussion Paper, No. 10-13, Mannheim.

Corporate Governance and Current Regulation in the German Banking Sector: An Overview and Assessment Köhler M.

2010 | ZEW Discussion Paper, No. 10-002, Mannheim.

Corporate Governance in Banks of Germany Köhler M.

2010 | in: A. Kostyuk, F. Takeda and K. Hosono (eds.), Anti-Crisis Paradigms of Corporate Governance in Banks: A New Institutional Outlook.

Der Markt für Unternehmenskontrolle Köhler M.

2010 | in: G. Wohlmannstetter and K. J. Hopt (eds.), Handbuch Corporate Governance von Banken, 245-264.

Geschäftsmodelle im Wandel – Banken setzen wieder verstärkt auf den Privatkunden Köhler M.

2010 | Bankpraktiker, 2, 10-13.

Reform der Aufsichtsräte von Banken – Lösung des Problems? Köhler M., Gropp R.

2010 | Zeitschrift für das gesamte Kreditwesen, 14, 22-24.

Social Banking kein Strohfeuer Köhler M.

2010 | Bank und Markt, 10, 42-44.

Auslandsbanken zielen verstärkt auf das Mengenkundengeschäft Köhler M.

2009 | Bankpraktiker, 3, 104.

Der Einfluss des Staates im Finanzsektor wächst Köhler M.

2009 | Going Public, 8/9, 50-51.

Der Staat wird Banker Köhler M.

2009 | Die Aktiengesellschaft, 16, R355-R356.

Alternative Filialkonzepte auf dem Vormarsch Köhler M.

2008 | Bank und Markt, 12, 33-35.

Europas Banken im Umbruch Köhler M.

2008 | Going Public, 5, 56-57.

Trends im Retail-Banking: Ausländische Banken am deutschen Bankenmarkt Köhler M.

2008 | ZEW Dokumentation, Nr. 08-03, Mannheim.

Trends im Retail-Banking: Ausländische Banken auf dem Vormarsch Köhler M.

2008 | Finanzbetrieb, 7/8, 720.

Trends im Retail-Banking: Die Bankfiliale der Zukunft Köhler M., Lang G.

2008 | ZEW Dokumentation, Nr. 08-01, Mannheim.

Trends im Retail-Banking: Outsourcing im deutschen Bankensektor Köhler M., Lang G.

2008 | ZEW Discussion Paper, No. 08-04, Mannheim.

International Capital Mobility and Current Account Targeting in Central and Eastern European Countries Köhler M.

2007 | in: K. Liebscher, J. Christel, P. Mooslechner and D. Ritzberger-Grünwald (eds.), Financial Development, Integration and Stability: Evidence from Central Eastern and South-Eastern Europe, Cheltenham, 489-508.

Merger Control as Barrier to EU Banking Market Integration Köhler M.

2007 | ZEW Discussion Paper, No. 07-082, Mannheim.
Dr. Markus Baltzer

Dr. Markus Baltzer
Interest-Rate Pegs and The Reversal Puzzle: On The Role of Anticipation Gerke R., Giesen S., Kienzler D.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar
Dr. Rafael Gerke

Dr. Rafael Gerke
Arne J. Nagengast, Ph.D.

Arne J. Nagengast, Ph.D.
Refereed Publications
Connectedness between G10 Currencies: Searching for the Causal Structure Bettendorf T., Heinlein R.

2023 | International Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 28(4), pp. 3938-3959.

TARGET balances in the euro area: The case of Germany Bettendorf T., Jochem A.

2023 | Applied Economics, Vol. 55(29), pp. 3317-3328.

Time-variation in the Effects of Push and Pull Factors on Portfolio Flows: Evidence from a Bayesian Dynamic Factor Model Bettendorf T., Karadimitropoulou A.

Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 156, 104756.

Revisiting Real Exchange Rate Volatility: Non-Traded Goods and Cointegrated TFP Shocks Dogan A., Bettendorf T.

2020 | Oxford Economic Papers New Series, Vol. 72(1), pp. 80-100.

German wage moderation and European imbalances: Feeding the global VAR with theory Bettendorf T., León-Ledesma M.

2019 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 51(2-3), pp. 617-653.

Spillover effects of credit default risk in the Euro Area and the effects on the Euro: A GVAR approach Bettendorf T.

2019 | International Journal of Finance and Economics, Vol. 24(1), pp. 296-312.

Chow-Lin X N: How adding a panel dimension can improve accuracy Bettendorf T., Bursian D.

2017 | Economics Letters, Vol. 157, pp. 5-9

Investigating Global Imbalances: Empirical Evidence from a GVAR Approach Bettendorf T.

2017 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 64, pp. 201-210.

Idiosyncratic and international transmission of shocks in the G7: does EMU matter? Bettendorf T.

2017 | Review of International Economics, Vol. 25(4), pp. 856-890.

Are there bubbles in the Sterling-dollar exchange rate? New evidence from sequential ADF tests Bettendorf T., Chen W.

2013 | Economics Letters, Elsevier, Vol. 120(2), pp. 350-353.
Timo Bettendorf, Ph.D.

Timo Bettendorf, Ph.D.
Dr. Oliver Hossfeld

Dr. Oliver Hossfeld
Dr. Sebastian Giesen

Dr. Sebastian Giesen
Dr. Rainer Frey

Dr. Rainer Frey
Refereed Publications
Interest-Rate Pegs and The Reversal Puzzle: On The Role of Anticipation Gerke R., Giesen S., Kienzler D.

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming.

Make-Up Strategies with Incomplete Markets and Bounded Rationality Michael Dobrew, Rafael Gerke, Sebastian Giesen, Joost Röttger

2025 | European Economic Review, vol. 173

The Power of Forward Guidance in a Quantitative TANK Model Gerke R., Giesen S., Scheer A.

2020 | Economics Letters, Vol. 186, 108827.

Effects of Incorrect Specification on the Finite Sample Properties of Full and Limited Information Estimators in DSGE Models Giesen S. , Scheufele R.

2016 | Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 48, pp. 1-18.

Impulse response analysis in a misspecified DSGE model: A comparison of full and limited information techniques Giesen S., Scheufele R.

2016 | Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 23(3), pp. 162-166.

Revisiting the relative forecast performances of Fed staff and private forecasters: A dynamic approach El-Shagi M., Giesen S., Jung A.

2016 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 32(2), pp. 313-323.

The Quantity Theory Revisited: A New Structural Approach El-Shagi M., Giesen S., Kelly L.J.

2015 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 19(1), pp. 58-78.

Testing for Structural Breaks at Unknown Time: A Steeplechase El-Shagi M., Giesen S.

2013 | Computational Economics, Vol. 41(1), pp. 101-123.

The Halle Economic Projection Model Giesen S., Holtemöller O., Scharff J., Scheufele R.

2012 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 29(4), pp. 1461-1472.
Dr. Christoph Fischer

Dr. Christoph Fischer
Dr. Florian Kajuth

Dr. Florian Kajuth
Refereed Publications
Cap and Trade vs Tradable Performance Standard: A comparison for Europe and China Peter Burgold, Anne Ernst, Natascha Hinterlang, Marius Jäger, Nikolai Stähler

2025 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, vol. 178

Consumption Taxation to Finance Pension Payments Ruppert K., Schön M., Stähler N.

2024 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 130, 106570.

Import tariffs and transport prices Boddin D., Stähler F.

2024 | Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 57(2), pp. 430-458.

Gauging the Effects of the German COVID-19 Fiscal Stimulus Package Hinterlang N., Moyen S., Röhe O., Stähler N.

2023 | European Economic Review, Vol. 154(May), 104407.

Carbon Pricing, Border Adjustment and Climate Clubs: Options for International Cooperation Ernst A., Hinterlang N., Mahle A., Stähler N.

2023 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 144, pp. 103772.

What Drives the German Current Account? Household Savings, Capital Investments and Public Policies Ruppert K., Stähler N.

2022 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 108, 105769.

Re-Allocating Taxing Rights and Minimum Tax Rates in International Profit Taxation Kempkes G., Stähler N.

2022 | Journal of Government and Economics, Vol. 7(Autumn), 100048.

Using Energy and Emission Taxation to Finance Labor Tax Reductions in a Multi-Sector Economy Hinterlang N., Martin A., Röhe O., Stähler N., Strobel J.

2022 | Energy Economics, Vol. 115, 106381.

Labor Tax Reductions in Europe: The Role of Property Taxation Bielecki M., Stähler N.

2022 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 26(2), pp. 419-451.

The Impact of Aging and Automation on the Macroeconomy and Inequality Stähler N.

2021 | Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 67, 103278.

When Old Meets Young? Germany's Population Ageing and the Current Account Schön M., Stähler N.

2020 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 89, pp. 315-336.

Parity Funding of Health Care Contributions in Germany: A DSGE Perspective Enders A., Groll D., Stähler N.

2020 | GERMAN Economic Review, Vol. 21(2), pp. 217-233.

Budget-Neutral Labour Tax Wedge Reductions: A Simulation-Based Analysis for the Euro Area Stähler N., Attinasi M., Prammer D., Tasso M., van Parys S.

2019 | International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 15(4), pp. 1-54.

Who Benefits From Using Property Taxes To Finance A Labor Tax Wedge Reduction? Stähler N.

2019 | Journal of Housing Economics, Vol. 46

Optimal Unemployment Insurance and International Risk Sharing Moyen S., Stähler N., Winkler F.

2019 | European Economic Review, Vol. 115, pp. 144-171.

Thoughts on a Fiscal Union in EMU Gadatsch N., Hollmayr J., Stähler N.

2019 | GERMAN Economic Review, Vol. 20(4), pp. 360-384.

Macroeconomic Effects of Increased Wage Flexibility in EMU Bursian D., Stähler N.

2019 | Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Vol. 22(1), pp. 69-83.

Structural and cyclical effects of tax progression Kremer J., Stähler N.

2016 | FinanzArchiv, Vol. 72(1), pp. 41-73.

A one-off wealth levy? Assessing the pros, the cons and the importance of credibility Kempkes G., Stähler N.

2016 | Fiscal Studies, Vol. 37(3-4), pp. 821-849.

Fiscal policy during the crisis: A look on Germany and the Euro area with GEAR Gadatsch N., Hauzenberger K., Stähler N.

2016 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 52, pp. 997-1016.

German Labor Market and Fiscal Reforms 1999 to 2008: Can They Be Blamed for Intra-Euro Area Imbalances? Gadatsch N., Stähler N., Weigert B.

2016 | Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 50(December), pp. 307-324.

Unemployment Insurance and the Business Cycle: Should Entitlement Duration React to the Cycle? Moyen S., Stähler N.

2014 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 18(3), pp. 497-525.

Recent developments in quantitative models of sovereign default Stähler N.

2013 | Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 27(4), pp. 605-633.

Reforming the labor market and improving competitiveness: An analysis for Spain using FiMod Schwarzmüller T., Stähler N.

2013 | Empirica: Journal of European Economics, Vol. 4(4), pp. 437-471.

The debt brake: business cycle and welfare consequences of Germany's new fiscal policy rule Mayer E., Stähler N.

2013 | Empirica: Journal of European Economics, Vol. 40(1), pp. 39-74.

FiMod – A DSGE model for fiscal policy simulations Stähler N., Thomas C.

2012 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 29(2), pp. 239-261.

On the effects of fair trade on the welfare of the poor. Baumann F., Oschinski M., Stähler N.

2012 | Journal of International Development, 24(S1), pp. S159-S172.

Long Dark Shadows or Innovative Spirits? The Effects of (Smoothing) Business Cycles on Economic Growth: A Survey of the Literature Priesmeier C., Stähler N.

2011 | Journal of Economic Surveys, Vol. 25(5), pp. 898-912.

Employment protection and temporary work agencies Baumann F., Mechtel M., Stähler N.

2011 | Labour, Vol. 25(3), pp. 308-329.

Taxing deficits to restrain government spending and foster capital accumulation Stähler N.

2009 | Journal of Public Economic Theory, Vol. 11(1), pp. 159-176.

Firing costs, severance payments, judicial mistakes and unemployment Stähler N.

2008 | Labour Economics, Vol. 15(6), pp. 1162-1178.

Unemployment and employment protection in a unionized economy with search frictions Stähler N.

2008 | Labour, Vol. 22(2), pp. 271-289.

Union power as a reason for Europe not to introduce experience rating Baumann F., Stähler N.

2008 | Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics, Vol. 164(3), pp. 568-585.

Employment protection: Its effects on different skill groups and on the incentive to become skilled Stähler N.

2006 | Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Vol. 226(1), pp. 41-54.

Financing unemployment benefits: Dismissal versus employment taxes Baumann F., Stähler N.

2006 | Labour, Vol. 20(3), pp. 433-451.
Dr. Nikolai Stähler

Dr. Nikolai Stähler
Dr. Philipp Meinen

Dr. Philipp Meinen
Other Working Papers and Publications
The Environmental Multi-Sector DSGE model EMuSe: A technical documentation Hinterlang N., Martin A., Röhe O., Stähler N., Strobel J.

2023 | Deutsche Bundesbank, Technical Paper 03/2023.

A model-based analysis of the German current account surplus Bursian D., Goldbach S., Jochem A., Nagengast A., Schön M., Stähler N., Vetlov I.

2020 | Deutsche Bundesbank, Technical Paper 03/2020.

Coordinated Structural Reforms: Insights from Fiscal and Labour Market Reforms in Germany Röhe O., Stähler N.

2018 | Structural Reforms – Moving the Economy Forward.

Privacy, Big Data, and the Public Good: Frameworks for Engagement Lane J., Stodden V., Bender S., Nissenbaum H. (ed.)

2014 | Cambridge University Press. (book review by Fred H. Cate: The Big Data Debate, in: Science 14 November 2014, 3468(6211), 818).

Employment protection and unemployment: A theoretical analysis evaluating recent policy proposals Stähler N.

2007 | Peter Lang Verlag, Frankfurt (Dissertation).
Refereed Publications
Managers as Knowledge Carriers – Explaining Firms' Internationalization Success with Manager Mobility Meinen P., Parrotta P., Sala D., Yalcin E.

2022 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 138, 103633.

Markups and Financial Shocks Meinen P., Soares A.C.

2022 | Economic Journal, Vol. 132(647), pp. 2471-2499.

The Impact of US Tariffs against China on US Imports: Evidence for Trade Diversion? Cigna S., Meinen P., Schulte P., Steinhoff N.

2022 | Economic Inquiry (formerly: Western Economic Journal), Vol. 60(1), pp. 162-173.

Firm Heterogeneity and Aggregate Business Services Exports: Micro Evidence from Belgium, France, Germany and Spain Ariu A., Biewen E., Blank S., Gaulier G., González M., Meinen P., Mirza D., Martín C., Tello P.

2019 | The World Economy, Vol. 42(2), pp. 564–589.

To sign or not to sign? On the response of prices to financial and uncertainty shocks Meinen P., Röhe O.

2018 | Economics Letters, Vol. 171, pp. 189-192.

International Trade and Retail Market Performance and Structure: Theory and Empirical Evidence Meinen P., Raff H.

2018 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 115, pp. 99-114.

On Measuring Aggregate Uncertainty and its Impact on Investment: Cross-country Evidence from the Euro Area Meinen P., Röhe O.

2017 | European Economic Review, Vol. 92, pp. 161-179.

Markup responses to Chinese imports Meinen P.

2016 | Economics Letters, Vol. 141, pp. 122-124.

Sunk Costs of Exporting and the Role of Experience in International Trade Meinen P.

2015 | Canadian Journal of Economics, Vol. 48(1), pp.335-367.

Export Spillovers: Opening the Black Box Choquette E., Meinen P.

2015 | The World Economy, Vol. 38(12), pp. 1912-1946.

Elasticity of Substitution and Anti-Dumping Decisions Hansen J. D., Meinen P., Nielsen J. U. M.

2014 | Review of World Economics, Vol. 150(4), pp. 787-816.
Dr. Kerstin Stahn

Dr. Kerstin Stahn
Other Working Papers and Publications
Managers as Knowledge Carriers Explaining Firms' Internationalization Success with Manager Mobility Meinen P., Parrotta P., Sala D., Yalcin E.

2018 | CESifo Working Paper No. 7126, June 2018.

International Trade and Retail Market Performance and Structure: Theory and Empirical Evidence Meinen P., Raff H.

2018 | CESifo Working Paper No. 7099, 2018.

Business investment in EU countries Banbura M., Bursian D., Meinen P.

2018 | ECB Occasional Paper No. 215, October 2018.

Firm Heterogeneity and Aggregate Business Services Exports: Micro Evidence from Belgium, France, Germany and Spain Ariu A., Biewen E., Blank S., Gaullier G., González M., Meinen P., Mirza D., Martín C., Tello P.

2017 | ECB Working Paper No. 2097.

Assessing the Financial and Financing Conditions of Firms in Europe: the Financial Module in CompNet Ferrando A., Altomonte C., Blank S., Iudice M., Felt M.H., Meinen P., Neugebauer K., Siedschlag I.

2015 | ECB Working Paper Series No 1836.

Micro-based Evidence of EU Competitiveness: the CompNet Database Lopez-Garcia P., di Mauro F. and the CompNet Task Force

2014 | ECB Working Paper Series No 1634.

Goods Follow Bytes: The Impact of ICT on EU Trade Mattes A., Meinen P., Pavel F.

2012 | DIW Discussion Paper 1182, 2012.
Dr. Stefan Goldbach

Dr. Stefan Goldbach
Refereed Publications
Determinants of net transactions in TARGET2 of European banks based on micro-data Stefan Goldbach, Axel Jochem, Constantin Drott

2025 | Open Economies Review, vol. 36, 25-61.

Bridge Over Troubled Water? German Foreign Direct Investment in Times of Geopolitical Tensions Stefan Goldbach, Volker Nitsch

Economics Letters

Cryptocurrencies and Capital Flows: Evidence from El Salvador’s Adoption of Bitcoin Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2024 | Applied Economics Letters.

Retained Earnings, Foreign Portfolio Ownership, and the German Current Account: A Firm-Level Approach Goldbach S., Harms P., Jochem A., Nitsch V., Weichenrieder A.J.

2024 | GERMAN Economic Review, Vol. 25(2), pp. 127-145.

Internationalisation as a boost for many firms: Evidence from Germany Rainer Frey, Stefan Goldbach

2025 | Review of World Economics/Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, vol. 161, 911-963.

The Effects of Sanctions on Russian Banks in TARGET2 Transactions Data Drott C., Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2024 | Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 219, pp. 38-51.

Smart or Smash? The Effect of Financial Sanctions on Trade in Goods and Services Besedes T., Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2024 | Review of International Economics, Vol. 32(1), pp. 223-251.

Capital Controls Checkup: Cases, Customs, Consequences Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2023 | IMF Economic Review, Vol. 71(4), 885–906.

Freeze! Financial Sanctions and Bank Responses Efing M., Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2023 | Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 36(11), 4417–4459.

Covid-19 and Capital Flows: The Responses of Investors to the Responses of Governments Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2022 | Open Economies Review, Vol. 33(4), pp. 751-774.

The tax-efficient use of debt in multinational corporations Goldbach S., Moen J., Schindler D., Schjelderup G., Wamser G.

2021 | Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol. 71, 102119.

Cheap Talk? Financial Sanctions and Non-Financial Firms Besedeš T., Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2021 | European Economic Review, Vol. 134, 103688.

The effect of investing abroad on investment at home: On the role of technology, tax savings, and internal capital markets Nagengast A., Goldbach S., Wamser G., Steinmüller E.

2019 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 116, pp. 58-73.

You’re banned! The effect of sanctions on German cross-border financial flows Besedeš T., Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2017 | Economic Policy (formerly: Economic Policy: A European Forum), Vol. 32(90), pp. 263-318.

Extra Credit: Bank Finance and Firm Export Status in Germany Goldbach S., Nitsch V.

2014 | The World Economy, Vol. 37(7), pp. 883-891.
Foreign Exchange Interventions under a One-Sided Target Zone Regime and the Swiss Franc Hertrich M.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar
Quantitative Modelling of the EUR/CHF Exchange Rate during the Target Zone Re-gime of September 2011 to January 2015: A Correction Hertrich M.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar
Dr. Markus Hertrich

Dr. Markus Hertrich
Dr. Matthias Hertweck

Dr. Matthias Hertweck
Dr. Christina Gerberding

Dr. Christina Gerberding
Product carbon contents – an encompassing and market based information system von Kalckreuth, U.

2025 | Latin American Journal of Central Banking.

Choosing and using payment instruments: evidence from German microdata von Kalckreuth U., Schmidt T., Stix H.

2014 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 46(3), pp. 1019-1055.

Using Cash to Monitor Liquidity Implications for Payments, Currency Demand and Withdrawal Behavior von Kalckreuth U., Schmidt T., Stix H.

2014 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 46(8), pp. 1753-1786.

Identifying discretionary fiscal policy with real-time data von Kalckreuth U., Wolff G.

2011 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 43(6), 1271-1285.

Panel estimation of state dependent adjustment when the target is unobserved von Kalckreuth U.

2011 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 40(1), 205-235.

Globalisation, Accumulation and Inequality – the Case of Germany von Kalckreuth U., Ziebarth G.

2007 | Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, Vol. 56(29), 231-251.

Dependence on external finance by manufacturing sector: Examining the measure and its properties von Fürstenberg G., von Kalckreuth U.

2007 | Economie internationale, Vol. 111(1), 55-80.

Financial constraints and capacity adjustment – Evidence from a large panel of survey data von Kalckreuth U.

2006 | Economica, Vol. 73, issue 292, 691-724.

Dependence on external finance – an inherent industry characteristic? von Fürstenberg G., von Kalckreuth U.

2006 | Open Economies Review, Vol. 17(4), 541-559.

Stable solutions to homogeneous difference-differential equations with constant coefficients: Analytical instruments and an application to monetary policy. von Kalckreuth U., Krtscha M.

2004 | Applications of Mathematics, Vol. 49(4), 373-386.

Exploring the role of uncertainty for corporate investment decisions in Germany von Kalckreuth U.

2003 | Schweizerische Zeitschrift für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik (Swiss Journal of Economics), Vol. 139(2), 173-206.

New findings on firm investment and monetary transmission in the Euro area Chatelain J.-B., Hernando I., Generale A., von Kalckreuth U., Vermeulen P.

2003 | Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 19(1), 1-11.

Monetary transmission in the new economy: Service life of capital, transmission channels and the speed of adjustment von Kalckreuth U., Schroeder J.

2002 | Jahrbuch für Wirtschaftswissenschaften (Review of Economics), 53, 125-141.
Dr. Karsten Webel

Dr. Karsten Webel
Dr. Ulf von Kalckreuth

Dr. Ulf von Kalckreuth
Other Working Papers and Publications
Revisions in Concurrent Seasonal Adjustments of Daily Air Pollution and Weekly Google Searches for Unemployment in Germany Webel, K.

2024 | Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Establishment Statistics.

Towards Seasonal Adjustment of Infra-Monthly Time Series with JDemetra+ Smyk A., Webel K.

2022 | Proceedings of the 2022 Joint Statistical Meetings, Business and Economic Statistics Section, pp. 298-319.

Challenges and Recent Developments in the Seasonal Adjustment of Daily Time Series Webel K.

2020 | Proceedings of the 2020 Joint Statistical Meetings, Business and Economic Statistics Section, pp. 1971-1997.

Täglicher Lkw-Maut-Fahrleistungsindex aus digitalen Prozessdaten der Lkw-Mauterhebung Cox M., Triebel J., Linz S., Fries C., Flores L. F., Lorenz A., Ollech D., Dietrich A., LeCrone J., Webel K.

2020 | Wirtschaft und Statistik, Vol. 72(4), pp. 63-76.

Time-varying end-of-month effects in German currency in circulation Webel K., Dietrich A.

2019 | Proceedings of the New Techniques and Technologies for Statistics 2019.

An overall seasonality test based on recursive feature elimination in conditional random forests Webel K., Ollech D.

2018 | Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Time Series and Forecasting, pp. 20-31.

Combining seasonality tests: a random forest approach Webel K., Ollech D.

2017 | Proceedings of the New Techniques and Technologies for Statistics 2017.

Condensing information from multiple seasonality tests with random forests Webel K., Ollech D.

2017 | Proceedings of the 61st ISI World Statistics Congress, forthcoming.

Assessing the Informational Content of Seasonality Tests by Random Forests of Conditional Inference Trees Ollech D., Webel K.

2017 | Proceedings of the 2017 Joint Statistical Meetings, Business and Economic Statistics Section, pp. 1889-1900.

Time series-dependent selection of an appropriate seasonal adjustment approach Webel K.

2013 | Proceedings of the 59th ISI World Statistics Congress, pp. 2962-2967.

Data-driven selection criteria for X-13ARIMA-SEATS seasonal adjustment algorithms Webel K.

2013 | Proceedings of the 2013 Joint Statistical Meetings, Business and Economic Statistics Section, pp. 1972-1986.

Diversify with Care – Even in Private Equity Klier D. O., Welge M. K., Harrigan K. R., Webel K.

2010 | Columbia Business School, Working Paper March 11.
Refereed Publications
A Novel Tree-Based Combined Test for Seasonality Webel K., Ollech D.

2025 | Data Science in Science, Vol. 4(1), 2517006.

Revisions in concurrent seasonal adjustments of daily and weekly economic time series Webel K.

2025 | Statistical Journal of the IAOS, Vol. 41(2), pp. 265-293.

Seasonal Adjustment of Infra-Monthly Time Series with JDemetra+ Webel K., Smyk A.

2024 | Journal of Official Statistics, Vol. 40(4), pp. 783-828.

A Random Forest-based Approach to Combining and Ranking Seasonality Tests Ollech D., Webel K.

2023 | Journal of Econometric Methods, Vol. 12(1), pp. 117-130.

Chaos in German stock returns – New evidence from the 0-1 test Webel K.

2012 | Economics Letters, Vol. 115(3), pp. 487-489.

A Short Note on the Dependence Structure of a Stochastic Process Generated by the Asymmetric Cusp Map Webel K.

2012 | Communications in Statistics – Theory and Methods, Vol. 41(2), pp. 357-362.
Refereed Publications
Euro area banks' interest rate risk exposure to level, slope and curvature swings in the yield curve Foos D., Lütkebohmert E., Markovych M., Pliszka K.

2022 | European Financial Management, Vol. 28(4), pp. 883-925.

Model and estimation risk in credit risk stress tests Grundke P., Pliszka K., Tuchscherer M.

2020 | Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Vol. 55, pp. 163-199.

What are the real effects of financial market liquidity? Evidence on bank lending from the euro area Dombret A., Foos D., Pliszka K., Schulz A.

2019 | Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, Vol. 62, pp. 152-183.

A macroeconomic reverse stress test Grundke P., Pliszka K.

2018 | Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Vol. 50(4), pp. 1093-1130.
Refereed Publications
CDS and credit: The effect of the bangs on credit insurance, lending and hedging Yalin Gündüz, Steven Ongena, Günseli Tümer-Alkan, Yuejuan Yu

2025 | Journal of Empirical Finance, vol. 81

Lighting up the dark: liquidity in the German corporate bond market Gündüz Y., Pelizzon L., Schneider M., Subrahmanyam M.G.

2023 | Journal of Fixed Income, Vol. 33(1), pp. 5-41.

The Market Impact of Systemic Risk Capital Surcharges Gündüz Y.

2023 | European Financial Management, Vol. 29(5), pp. 1401-1440.

Entropic characterization of Gross Domestic Product per capita (GDP) values of countries Gündüz G., Gündüz Y., Kuzucuoglu M.

2022 | Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Vol. 603, 127831.

Bank Use of Sovereign CDS in the Eurozone Crisis: Hedging and Risk Incentives Acharya, V., Gündüz Y., Johnson T.C.

2022 | Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 50, 100964.

Will German banks earn their cost of capital? Dombret A., Gündüz Y., Rocholl J.

2019 | Contemporary Economic Policy (formerly: Contemporary Policy Issues), Vol. 37(1), pp. 156-169.

A Thermodynamical View on Asset Pricing Gündüz G., Gündüz Y.

2016 | International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 47, pp. 310-327.

The Common drivers of Default Risk Memmel C., Gündüz Y., Raupach P.

2015 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 16, pp. 232-247.

The Liquidity Premium in CDS Transaction Prices: Do Frictions Matter? Gehde-Trapp M., Gündüz Y., Nasev J.

2015 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 61, pp. 184-205.

Market Transparency and the Marking Precision of Bond Mutual Fund Managers Cici G., Gibson S., Gündüz Y., Merrick Jr. J.J

2015 | Journal of Portfolio Management, Vol. 41(2), pp. 126-137.

Does Modeling Framework Matter? A Comparative Study of Structural and Reduced-Form Models Gündüz Y., Uhrig-Homburg M.

2014 | Review of Derivatives Research, Vol. 17, pp. 39-78.

Impacts of the Financial Crisis on Eurozone Sovereign CDS Spreads Gündüz Y., Kaya O.

2014 | Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 49, pp. 425-442.

Predicting Credit Default Swap Prices with Financial and Pure Data-Driven Approaches Gündüz Y., Uhrig-Homburg M.

2011 | Quantitative Finance, Vol. 11, pp. 1709-1727.

Viscoelastic Behavior of Stock Indices Gündüz G., Gündüz Y.

2010 | Physica A, Vol. 389, pp. 5776-5784.

Trading Credit Default Swaps via Interdealer Brokers Gündüz Y., Lüdecke T., Uhrig-Homburg M.

2007 | Journal of Financial Services Research, Vol. 32, pp. 141-159.

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