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Dr. Thomas Kick

Dr. Thomas Kick
Dr. Cornelia Kerl

Dr. Cornelia Kerl
Refereed Publications
Does greater transparency discipline the loan loss provisioning of privately held banks? Bischof J., Foos D., Riepe J.

2023 | Journal European Accounting Review.

Euro area banks' interest rate risk exposure to level, slope and curvature swings in the yield curve Foos D., Lütkebohmert E., Markovych M., Pliszka K.

2022 | European Financial Management, Vol. 28(4), pp. 883-925.

What are the real effects of financial market liquidity? Evidence on bank lending from the euro area Dombret A., Foos D., Pliszka K., Schulz A.

2019 | Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money, Vol. 62, pp. 152-183.

Banks Equity Stakes and Lending: Evidence from a Tax Reform von Beschwitz B., Foos D.

2018 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 96, pp. 322-343.

Cyclicality of SME lending and government involvement in banks Behr P., Foos D., Norden L.

2017 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 77, pp. 64-77.

Loan growth and riskiness of banks Foos D., Norden L., Weber M.

2010 | Journal of Banking & Finance, Vol. 34(12), pp. 2929-2940.
Dr. Daniel Foos

Dr. Daniel Foos
Other Working Papers and Publications
Banks' Equity Stakes and Lending: Evidence from a Tax Reform von Beschwitz B., Foos D.

2016 | International Finance Discussion Papers 1183, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Dr. Sven Blank

Dr. Sven Blank
Refereed Publications
Real Interest Rates, Bank Borrowing and Fragility Ahnert T., Anand K., König P.

2024 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 56(6), pp. 1545-1571.

Leaping into the dark: A theory of policy gambles Anand K., Gai P., König P.

2023 | Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 51(2), pp. 457-476.

The value of data privacy during the COVID-19 pandemic: a new set of survey questions Anand K., Helmschrott S., Schmidt T., Zhou S.

2022 | Measurement Instruments for the Social Sciences, Vol. 4, 10 (2022).

Pre-emptive sovereign debt restructuring and holdout litigation Anand K., Gai P.

2019 | Oxford Economic Papers New Series, Vol. 71(2), pp. 364-381.

Asset encumbrance, Bank Funding, and Financial Fragility Ahnert T., Anand K., Gai P., Chapman J.

2019 | Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 32(6), pp. 2422-2455.

Structural Model for Fluctuations in Financial Markets Anand K., Khedair J., Kuehn R.

2018 | Physical Review E, Vol. 97(5).

The Missing Links: A global study on uncovering financial network structure from partial data Anand K., van Lelyveld I., Banai A., Friedrich S., Garratt R., Halaj G., Fique J., Hansen I., Jaramillo S., Lee H., Molina-Borboa J., Nobili S., Rajan S., Salakhova S., Silva T., Silvestri L., de Souza S.

2018 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 35, pp. 107-119.

Filling in the blanks: Network structure and interbank contagion Anand K., Craig B., von Peter G.

2015 | Quantitative Finance, Vol. 15(4), pp. 625-636.

Guarantees, Transparency and the Interdependency Between Sovereign and Bank Default Risk König P., Anand K., Heinemann F.

2014 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 45, pp. 321-337.

A network model of financial system resilience Anand K., Gai P., Kapadia S., Wilison M., Brennan S.

2013 | Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, Vol. 85, pp. 219-235.

Epidemic of rules, rational negligence and market crashes Anand K., Kirman A., Marsili M.

2012 | European Journal of Finance, Vol. 19(5), pp. 438-447.

Rollover risk, network structure and systemic financial crises Anand K., Gai P., Marsili M.

2012 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 36/8, pp. 1088-1100.
Dr. Kartik Anand

Dr. Kartik Anand
Other Working Papers and Publications
Quantifying contagion risk in funding markets: A model based stress-testing approach Anand K., Gauthier C., Souissi M.

2015 | Bank of Canada Working Paper, 2015-32.

Stress testing the Canadian banking system: A system-wide approach Anand K., Bédard-Pagé G., Traclet V.

2014 | Bank of Canada Financial System Review, June, pp. 61-68.

The safety of government bonds Anand K., Gai P.

2013 | Bank of Canada Working Paper, 2013-34.
Dr. Elmar Mertens

Dr. Elmar Mertens
Dr. Patrick Hürtgen

Dr. Patrick Hürtgen
Bank Risk-Taking and Impaired Monetary Policy Transmission König P., Schliephake E.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar

doi.org doi.org
Dr. Philipp Johann König

Dr. Philipp Johann König
Refereed Publications
Money growth and inflation – how to account for the differences in empirical results Mandler M., Scharnagl M.

2024 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 44 (3), pp. 1009-1025.

Estimating the country-specific effects of shocks to interest rate expectations in the Euro area Mandler M., Scharnagl M.

2023 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 42(3), pp. 643-656.

Financial cycles across G7 economies: a view from wavelet analysis Mandler M., Scharnagl M.

2022 | Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Vol. 26, e00277.

Financial Cycles in European Economies: A cross-country perspective using wavelet analysis Mandler M., Scharnagl M.

2022 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (formerly: Bulletin of the Institute of Economics and Statistics), Vol. 84(3), pp. 569-593.

Heterogeneity in euro-area monetary policy transmission: results from a large multi-country BVAR model Mandler M., Scharnagl M., Volz U.

2022 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 54(2-3), pp. 627-649.

Bank loan supply shocks and alternative financing of non-financial corporations in the euro area Mandler M., Scharnagl M.

2020 | The Manchester School, Vol. 88(S1), pp. 126-150.

Real and financial cycles in euro area economies: results from wavelet analysis Scharnagl M., Mandler M.

2019 | Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 239(5-6), pp. 895-916.

Inflation, deflation, and uncertainty: What drives euro area option-implied inflation expectations and are they still anchored in the sovereign debt crisis? Scharnagl M., Stapf J.

2015 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 48, pp. 248-269.

Should monetary policy respond to money growth? New results for the euro area Gerberding C., Scharnagl M., Seitz F.

2010 | International Finance, Vol. 13(3), pp. 409-441.

How effective are automatic stabilizers? Theory and empirical evidence for Germany and other OECD countries Scharnagl M., Tödter K.-H.

2005 | in: C. Dreger and H. Galler (eds.), Advances in macroeconometric modeling, pp. 295-310.

The stability of German money demand: not just a myth Scharnagl M.

1998 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 23(3), pp. 355-370.

Monetäres Reinvermögen versus Geldmenge M3: eine Entgegnung Clostermann J., Scharnagl M., Seitz F.

1997 | Kredit und Kapital, Vol. 30(1), pp. 101-115.
Other Working Papers and Publications
Real and financial cycles in EU countries: Stylised facts and modelling implications Rünstler G., Balfoussia H., Burlon L., Buss G., Comunale M., de Backer B., Dewachter H., Guarda P., Haavio M., Hindrayanto I., Iskrev N., Jaccard I., Kulikov D., Kunovac D., Lenarcic C., Lequien M., Lozej M., Mandler M., Papageorgiou D., Pedersen J., Perez-Quiros G., Rannenberg A., Rots E., Scharnagl M., Welz P.

2018 | ECB Occasional Paper, No. 205.

Datenzugang in Deutschland: Der Paradigmenwechsel hat bereits stattgefunden Bender S.

2014 | AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Vol. 8, No. 4, 237-248 (Comments to the article of Rendtel, U. in the same issue).

Households financial portfolio choices: a comparison between France and Germany (1978-2009) Avouyi Dovi S., Borgy V., Pfister C., Scharnagl M., Sedillot F.

2013 | in: Winkler, B., A. van Riet and P. Bull (eds.), A Flow of Funds Perspective on the Financial Crisis, Palgrave Macmillan.

Households portfolio structure in Germany: Analysis of financial accounts data 1959-2009 Ram F., Scharnagl M.

2011 | ECB Working Paper, No. 1355.
Nils Wehrhöfer, PhD

Nils Wehrhöfer, PhD
Research Brief
The child bonus in the coronavirus pandemic: a case of redistribution rather than fiscal stimulus Research Brief | 48th edition – June 2022

13.06.2022 Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre Vivien Lewis, Questionnaire Design Nils Wehrhöfer, Ph.D.

How do energy prices influence inflation expectations? Research Brief | 62nd edition – November 2023

28.11.2023 Questionnaire Design Nils Wehrhöfer, Ph.D.
Dr. Mu-Chun Wang

Dr. Mu-Chun Wang
Refereed Publications
Are risky banks disciplined by large corporate depositors? Imbierowicz B., Saunders A., Steffen S.

Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming.

Bank Lending and Firms' Internal Capital Markets following a Deglobalization Shock Imbierowicz B., Nagengast A., Prieto E., Vogel U.

2025 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 174, 104119.

Financial Debt Contracting and Managerial Agency Imbierowicz B., Streitz D.

2024 | Financial Management, Vol. 53(1), pp. 99-118.

What Drives Startup Valuations? Imbierowicz B., Rauch C.

2024 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 168, 107251.

The transmission of bank capital requirements and monetary policy to bank lending in Germany Imbierowicz B., Löffler A., Vogel U.

2021 | Review of International Economics, Vol. 29(1), pp. 144-164.

Does the Lack of Financial Stability Impair the Transmission of Monetary Policy? Acharya V. V., Imbierowicz B., Steffen S., Teichmann D.

2020 | Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 138(2), pp. 342-365.

Time-varying capital requirements and disclosure rules: Effects on capitalization and lending decisions Imbierowicz B., Kragh J., Rangvid J.

2018 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 50(4), pp. 573-602.

Covenant violations and dynamic loan contracting Freudenberg F., Imbierowicz B., Saunders A., Steffen S.

2017 | Journal of Corporate Finance, Vol. 45, pp. 540-565.

The Roles of Corporate Governance in Bank Failures during the Recent Financial Crisis Berger A., Imbierowicz B., Rauch C.

2016 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 48(4), pp. 729-770.

The Relationship between Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk in Banks Imbierowicz B., Rauch C.

2014 | Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 40, pp. 242-256.

Wealth Transfer Effects between Stockholders and Bondholders Imbierowicz B., Wahrenburg M.

2013 | The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Vol. 53, pp. 23-43.
Refereed Publications
Estimation of Heterogeneous Agent Models: A Likelihood Approach Parra-Alvarez J.C., Posch O., Wang M.

2023 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics (formerly: Bulletin of the Institute of Economics and Statistics), Vol. 85(2), pp. 304-330.

Economic Theories and Macroeconomic Reality Loria F., Matthes C., Wang M.

2022 | Journal of Monetary Economics (incl. Issues on the Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy), Vol. 126, pp. 105-117.

Choosing Prior Hyperparameters: With Applications to Time-Varying Parameter Models Amir-Ahmadi P., Matthes C., Wang M.-C.

2020 | Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 38(1), pp. 124-136.

Measurement Errors and Monetary Policy: Then and Now Amir-Ahmadi P., Matthes C., Wang M.-C.

2017 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 79, pp. 66-78.

Drifts and Volatilities under Measurement Error: Assessing Monetary Policy Shocks over the Last Century Amir-Ahmadi P., Matthes C., Wang M.-C.

2016 | Quantitative Economics, Vol. 7(2), pp. 591-611.

Incorporating Asymmetric Preferences into Fan Charts and Path Forecasts Demetrescu M., Wang M.-C.

2014 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 76(2), pp. 287-297.

What Drives Inflation in New Keynesian Models? Matthes C., Wang M.-C.

2012 | Economics Letters, Vol. 114(3), pp. 338-342.

Comparing the DSGE Model with the Factor Model: An Out-of-Sample Forecasting Experiment Wang M.-C.

2009 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 28(2), pp 167-182.
Are risky banks disciplined by large corporate depositors? Imbierowicz B., Saunders A., Steffen S.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar
Dr. Björn Imbierowicz

Dr. Björn Imbierowicz
The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity Bloom N., Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar

doi.org doi.org
Working Papers and Other Publications
The impact of Covid-19 on productivity Bloom N., Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2021 | VoxEU, 18 January 2021.

The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity Bloom N., Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | Bank of England, Staff Working Papers No. 900.

Campaign for Social Science Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | Social Science Provides an Essential Evidence Base for the Policy Response to COVID-19, 19 June 2020.

Brexit Uncertainty Has Fallen since the UK General Election Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2020 | VoxEU, 25 February 2020.

The Economic Impact of Coronavirus on UK Businesses: Early Evidence from the Decision Maker Panel Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2020 | VoxEU, 27 March 2020.

Coronavirus Expected to Reduce UK' Firms Sales by over 40% in Q2 Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | VoxEU, 20 May 2020.

Which Firms and Industries Have Been Most Affected by Covid-19? Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Griffith R., Mizen P., Stroud R., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | Economics Observatory, 1 June 2020.

Economic uncertainty in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic Altig D., Baker S., Barrero J. M., Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Davis S. J., Meyer B., Mihaylov E., Mizen P., Parker N., Renault T., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | VoxEU, 24 July 2020.

Economic Uncertainty Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic Altig D., Baker S., Barrero J. M., Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Davis S. J., Meyer B., Mihaylov E., Mizen P., Parker N., Renault T., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | Bank Underground, 26 June 2020.

The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms Bloom N., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2019 | Working Paper Series. No. 26218 .

The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2019 | Bank of England, Staff Working Papers No. 818.

The Latest on Brexit from the Decision Maker Panel Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2019 | VoxEU, 25. September 2019.

Brexit is Already Affecting UK Businesses – Here's How Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2019 | Harvard Business Review, 13 March 2019.

The Impact of Brexit on UK Firms Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2019 | VoxEU, 4 September 2019.

Growing Pension Deficits and the expenditure decisions of UK companies Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2018 | Bank of England, Staff Working Papers No. 714.

Business investment, cash holding and uncertainty since the Great Financial Crisis Bloom N., Mizen P., Smietanka P.

2018 | Bank of England, Staff Working Papers No. 753.

Tracking the views of British businesses: evidence form the Decision Maker Panel Bloom N., Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G., Young G.

2017 | Bank of England, Quarterly Bulletin, Vol. 57(2), pp. 110-120.

EU's Eastern Neighbours: Institutional Harmonisation and Potential Growth Bonus Radziwill A., Smietanka P.

2009 | CASE Network Studies and Analyses No. 386/2009.
Hannah Paule-Paludkiewicz, Ph.D.

Hannah Paule-Paludkiewicz, Ph.D.
Refereed Publications
The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity Bloom N., Bunn P., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

Review of Economics and Statistics, forthcoming.

The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Gregory Thwaites, Paul Mizen, Pawel Smietanka

2025 | Review of Economics and Statistics, vol. 107, 28-41.

Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic Altig D., Baker S., Barrero J. M., Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Davis S. J., Leather J., Meyer B., Mihaylov E., Mizen P., Parker N., Renault T., Smietanka P., Thwaites G.

2020 | Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 191, 104274.

Brexit and Uncertainty: Insights from the Decision Maker Panel Bloom N., Bunn P., Chen S., Mizen P., Smietanka P., Thwaites G., Young G.

2018 | Fiscal Studies, Vol. 39(4), pp. 555-580.
Dr. Esteban Prieto

Dr. Esteban Prieto
Refereed Publications
Time-varying return correlation, news shocks, and business cycles Metiu N., Prieto Fernandes E.

2025 | European Economic Review, Vol. 172, 104916.

Bank Lending and Firms' Internal Capital Markets following a Deglobalization Shock Imbierowicz B., Nagengast A., Prieto E., Vogel U.

2025 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 174, 104119.

The Global Financial Cycle and Macroeconomic Tail Risks Beutel J., Emter L., Metiu N., Prieto Fernandez E., Schüler Y.

2025 | Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 156, 103342.

Financial shocks and inflation dynamics Abbate A., Eickmeier S., Prieto Fernandez E.

2023 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 27(2), pp. 350-378.

Banking deregulation, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy Buch C., Eickmeier S., Prieto Fernandez E.

2022 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 63, 101057.

Time variation in macro-financial linkages Eickmeier S., Marcellino M., Prieto Fernandez E.

2016 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31(7), pp. 1215-1233.

Bank Risk and Competition: Evidence from Regional Banking Markets Kick T., Prieto E.

2015 | Review of Finance, Vol. 19(3), pp. 1185-1222.

Do Better Capitalized Banks Lend Less? Long-Run Panel Evidence from Germany Buch C. M., Prieto E.

2014 | International Finance, Vol. 17(1), pp. 1-23.

Macroeconomic factors and micro-level bank behavior Buch C. M., Eickmeier S., Prieto E.

2014 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 46(4), pp. 715-751.

In search for yield? Survey-based evidence on bank risk taking Buch C. M., Eickmeier S., Prieto E.

2014 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 43, pp. 12-30.
Refereed Publications
Gender Norms and the Gender Gap in Higher Education Huber S.J., Paule-Paludkiewicz H.

2024 | Labour Economics, Vol. 87, 102491.

Time Preferences over the Life Cycle and Household Saving Puzzles Kureishi W., Paule-Paludkiewicz H., Tsujiyama H., Wakabayashi M.

2021 | Journal of Monetary Economics (incl. Issues on the Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy), Vol. 124, pp. 123-139.

Cultural Determinants of Household Saving Behavior Fuchs-Schündeln N., Masella P., Paule-Paludkiewicz H.

2020 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 52(5), pp. 1035-1070.

Long-term Changes in Married Couples Labor Supply and Taxes: Evidence from the US and Europe Since the 1980s Bick A., Brüggemann B., Fuchs-Schündeln N., Paule-Paludkiewicz H.

2019 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 118(May), pp. 44-62.
Prof. Martin R. Götz, Ph.D.

Prof. Martin R. Götz, Ph.D.
Refereed Publications
Do Bank Insiders Impede Equity Issuances Martin Götz, Luc Laeven, Ross Levine

Journal of Financial Intermediation

Financial Integration and Business Cycle Synchronization: Evidence from U.S. States Goetz M., Gozzi J.C.

2022 | Journal of International Economics, Vol. 135, 103561.

Competition and Bank Stability Goetz M.

2018 | Journal of Financial Intermediation, Vol. 35A, pp. 57-69.

Does the Geographic Expansion of Banks Reduce Risk? Goetz M., Laeven L., Levine R.

2016 | Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 120(2), pp. 346-362.

Identifying the Valuation Effects and Agency Costs of Corporate Diversification: Evidence from the Geographic Diversification of U.S. Banks Goetz M., Laeven L., Levine R.

2013 | Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 26(7), pp. 1787-1823.
Working Papers and other Publications
Do Bank Insiders Impede Equity Issuances? Goetz M., Laeven L., Levine R.

2020 | NBER Working Papers 27442.

Financing Conditions and Toxic Emissions Goetz M.

2019 | SAFE Working Paper No. 254.

Local Peer Effects and Corporate Investment Bao Y., Goetz M.

2019 | SAFE Working Paper Series 220.

Fines for Misconduct in the Banking Sector? What Is the Situation in the EU? Goetz M., Tröger T.

2017 | In-Depth Analysis provided in advance of the public hearing of the Chair of the Single Supervisory Mechanism on 23 March 2017 for the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.

Fünf Jahre nach dem Liikanen-Bericht: Was haben wir gelernt? Goetz M., Tröger T., Krahnen J. P.

2017 | Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik, Vol. 18(3), pp. 205-225.

Modelling illiquidity spillovers wiShould the Marketing of subordinated debt be restricted/different in one way or the other? What to do in case of misselling?th Hawkes processes: an application to the sovereign bond market Goetz M., Tröger T.

2016 | In-Depth Analysis provided in advance of the public hearing of the Chair of the Single Supervisory Mechanism on 22 March 2016 for the European Parliament's Economic and Monetary Affairs Committee.

Waren die ELA-Notkredite der EZB für griechische Banken eine Konkursverschleppung? Goetz M., Haselmann R., Krahnen J. P., Steffen S.

2015 | SAFE Policy Letter No. 47.

Stellungnahme zum Entwurf eines Gesetzes zur Umsetzung der Richtlinie 2014/59/EU (BRRD-Umsetzungsgesetz) der Bundesregierung vom 22.09.2014 Goetz M.

2014 | SAFE Policy Letter No. 3.
Jochen Mankart, Ph.D.

Jochen Mankart, Ph.D.
Refereed Publications
Discussion of Rising Bank Concentration by Dean Corbae and Pablo D'Erasmo Mankart J.

2020 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 115, 103878.

Comments on Rising Bank Concentration Mankart J.

2020 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol 115, 103878.

Bank Capital Buffers in a Dynamic Model Mankart J., Michaelides A., Pagratis S.

2020 | Financial Management, Vol. 49(2), pp. 473-502.

Household search and the aggregate labor market Mankart J., Oikonomou R.

2017 | Review of Economic Studies, Vol. 84(4), pp. 1735-1788.

The rise of the added worker effect Mankart J., Oikonomou R.

2016 | Economics Letters, Vol. 143, pp. 48-51.

Personal Bankruptcy Law, Debt Portfolios, and Entrepreneurship Mankart J., Rodano G.

2015 | Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 76, pp. 157-172.

The (Un-) importance of Chapter 7 wealth exemption levels Mankart J.

2014 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 38, pp. 1-16.
Dr. Stephan Jank

Dr. Stephan Jank
Dr. Malte Knüppel

Dr. Malte Knüppel
Other Working Papers and Publications
Book Review: Graham Elliott and Allan Timmermann, Economic Forecasting Knüppel M.

2017 | Book Review, Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik.

Unternehmensgrößenklassen im ifo-Konjunkturtest: eine Burns-Mitchell-Analyse Lucke B., Knüppel M.

2007 | in: U. Heilemann and C. Weihs (eds.), Classification and Clustering in Business Cycle Analysis, Duncker & Humbolt, Berlin.
Refereed Publications
Would Households Understand Average Inflation Targeting? Hoffmann M., Mönch E., Pavlova L., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2022 | Journal of Monetary Economics (incl. Issues on the Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy), Vol. 129(S), pp. 52-66.

Appropriate monetary policy and forecast disagreement at the FOMC Schultefrankenfeld G.

2020 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 58, pp. 223-255.

Assessing the uncertainty in central banks inflation outlooks Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2019 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 35(4), pp. 1748-1769.

Interest rate assumptions and predictive accuracy of central bank forecasts Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2017 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 53(1), pp. 195-215.

Forecast uncertainty and the Bank of England’s interest rate decisions Schultefrankenfeld G.

2013 | Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 17(1), pp. 1-20.

How informative are central bank assessments of macroeconomic risks? Knüppel M., Schultefrankenfeld G.

2012 | International Journal of Central Banking, Vol. 8(3), pp. 87-139.
Dr. Guido Schultefrankenfeld

Dr. Guido Schultefrankenfeld
What drives inflation? Disentangling demand and supply factors Eickmeier S., Hofmann B.

Keine deutsche Übersetzung verfügbar

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Refereed Publications
Teenage Childbearing and the Welfare State Di Nola A., Jan M., Kocharkov G., Wang H.

2025 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 29.

A Note on Contraception, Social Norms and Growth Cavalcanti T., Kocharkov G., Santos C.

2023 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 27(3), pp. 869 - 878.

Unconventional fiscal policy at work Bachmann R., Born B., Goldfayn-Frank O., Kocharkov G., Lütticke R., Weber M.

2023 | American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 113, pp. 61-64.

Low Homeownership in Germany – A Quantitative Exploration Kaas L., Kocharkov G., Preugschat E., Siassi N.

2021 | Journal of the European Economic Association, Vol. 19(1), pp. 128-164.

The Aggregate Consequences of Tax Evasion Di Nola A., Kocharkov G., Scholl A., Tkhir A.-M.

2021 | Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 40, pp. 198-227.

Family Planning and Development: Aggregate Effects of Contraceptive Use Cavalcanti T., Kocharkov G., Santos C.

2021 | Economic Journal, Vol. 131(634), pp. 624-657.

Does Homeownership Promote Wealth Accumulation? Kaas, L., Kocharkov G., Preugschat E.

2019 | Applied Economics Letters, Vol. 26(14), pp. 1186-1191.

Wealth Inequality and Homeownership in Europe Kaas, L., Kocharkov G., Preugschat E.

2019 | Annals of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 136, pp. 27-54.

Envelope Wages, Hidden Production and Labor Productivity Di Nola A., Kocharkov G., Vasilev A.

2019 | B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 19(2), pp. 1-30.

Technology and the Changing Family: A Unified Model of Marriage, Divorce, Educational Attainment and Married Female Labor-Force Participation Greenwood J., Guner N., Kocharkov G., Santos C.

2016 | American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, Vol. 8(1), pp. 1-41.

Marry Your Like: Assortative Mating and Income Inequality Greenwood J., Guner N., Kocharkov G., Santos C.

2014 | American Economic Review: Papers & Proceedings, Vol. 104(5), pp. 348-353.
Refereed Publications
What drives inflation? Disentangling demand and supply factors Eickmeier S., Hofmann B.

International Journal of Central Banking, forthcoming.

Global financial stress and financial transmission channels Eickmeier S., Metiu N., Quast J., Tanneberger S.

2024 | Chapter, Handbook of Financial Integration, pp. 134-171

Global financial stress and financial transmission channels Eickmeier S., Metiu N., Quast J., Tanneberger S.

2023 | Chapter, Handbook of Financial Integration, forthcoming.

Financial shocks and inflation dynamics Abbate A., Eickmeier S., Prieto Fernandez E.

2023 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 27(2), pp. 350-378.

Banking deregulation, macroeconomic dynamics and monetary policy Buch C., Eickmeier S., Prieto Fernandez E.

2022 | Journal of Financial Stability, Vol. 63, 101057.

China's role in global inflation dynamics Eickmeier S., Kühnlenz M.

2018 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 22(2), pp. 225-254.

The changing international transmission of financial shocks: evidence from a classical time-varying FAVAR Eickmeier S., Lemke W., Marcellino M., Abbate A.

2016 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 48(4), pp. 573-601.

Time variation in macro-financial linkages Eickmeier S., Marcellino M., Prieto Fernandez E.

2016 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31(7), pp. 1215-1233.

The interest rate pass-through in the euro area during the sovereign debt crisis Borstel J., Eickmeier S., Krippner L.

2016 | Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 68, pp. 386-402.

Classical time-varying FAVAR models – Estimation, forecasting and structural analysis Eickmeier S., Lemke W., Marcellino M.

2015 | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society - Series A, Vol. 178(3), pp. 493-533.

How do US credit supply shocks propagate internationally? A GVAR approach Eickmeier S., Nq T.

2015 | European Economic Review, Vol. 74, pp. 128-145.

Analyzing business cycle asymmetries in a multi-level factor model Breitung J., Eickmeier S.

2015 | Economics Letters, Vol. 127, pp. 31-34.

Analyzing international business and financial cycles using multi-level factor models: A comparison of alternative approaches Breitung J., Eickmeier S.

2015 | Advances in Econometrics, Vol. 35, pp. 177-214.

Understanding global liquidity Eickmeier S., Gambacorta L., Hofmann B.

2014 | European Economic Review, Vol. 68, pp. 1-18.

Macroeconomic factors and micro-level bank behavior Buch C. M., Eickmeier S., Prieto E.

2014 | Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 46(4), pp. 715-751.

In search for yield? Survey-based evidence on bank risk taking Buch C. M., Eickmeier S., Prieto E.

2014 | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 43, pp. 12-30.

The global dimension of inflation evidence from factor-augmented Phillips curves Eickmeier S., Pijnenburg K.

2013 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 75(1), pp. 103-122.

Monetary policy, housing booms, and financial (im)balances Eickmeier S., Hoffmann B.

2013 | Macroeconomic Dynamics, Vol. 17(4), pp. 830-860.

Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models Breitung J., Eickmeier S.

2011 | Journal of Econometrics Vol. 163(1), pp. 71-84.

Forecasting national activity using lots of international predictors: an application to New Zealand Eickmeier S., Nq T.

2010 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 27(29), pp. 496-511.

Analyse der Übertragung US-amerikanischer Schocks auf Deutschland auf Basis eines FAVAR (english title: A FAVAR-based analysis of the transmission of US shocks to Germany), Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik Eickmeier S.

2010 | Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 230(5), pp. 571-600.

Macroeconomic fluctuations and bank lending: evidence for Germany and the euro area Eickmeier S., Hofmann B., Worms A.

2009 | German Economic Review, Vol. 10(2), pp. 193-223.

E Comovements and heterogeneity in the euro area analyzed in a non-stationary dynamic factor model Eickmeier S.

2009 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 24(6), pp. 933-959.

How successful are dynamic factor models at forecasting output and inflation? A meta-analytic approach Eickmeier S., Ziegler C.

2008 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 27(3), pp. 237-265.

Business cycle transmission from the US to Germany a structural factor approach Eickmeier S.

2007 | European Economic Review, Vol. 51(3), pp. 521-551.

How synchronized are new EU member states with the euro area? Evidence from a structural factor model Eickmeier S., Breitung J.

2006 | Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 34, pp. 538-563.

Dynamic factor models Breitung J., Eickmeier S.

2006 | Journal of the German Statistical Society, Vol. 90, pp. 27-42.
Dr. Sandra Eickmeier

Dr. Sandra Eickmeier
Dr. Panagiota Tzamourani

Dr. Panagiota Tzamourani
Presentations
- 2020: Joint Statistical Meeting, American Statistical Association, 2-6 August 2020, online.
- 2019: 7th Luxembourg Workshop on Household Finance and Consumption, Banque Centrale du Luxembourg, Luxembourg; Household Finance Workshop, Interdisciplinary Centre of the Social Sciences (ICOSS), University of Sheffield, Sheffield (Invited); Berlin Workshop „Women in Macro, Finance and Economic History“, DIW Berlin
- 2018: Danmarks Nationalbank, Deutsche Bundesbank and Norges Bank conference, Frankfurt (poster); Joint Statistical Meeting, American Statistical Association, Vancouver; Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics (SSES) Annual Congress, St. Gallen; Workshop on Household Heterogeneity and Macroeconomics, ECB, Frankfurt
- 2017: ECB-Banque de France Conference on Household Finance & Consumption, Paris; University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics (Fakultät Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften Fachbereich Sozialökonomie); American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association (AREUEA), International Conference, Amsterdam; Understanding Society Scientific Conference 2017, University of Essex
- 2016: 17th IWH-CIREQ-GW Macroeconometric Workshop: Inequality, Micro Data and Macroeconomics, Halle Institute of Economic Research; Monetary Policy, Macro-prudential Regulation and Inequality, Council on Economic Policies, Zurich; Workshop on House price bubbles - how to detect, predict and prevent them?. Danmarks Nationalbank, Copenhagen; Joint Statistical Meeting, American Statistical Association, Chicago
- 2015: Joint Statistical Meeting, American Statistical Association, Seattle
Research Brief
Climate change concerns and actions – Can provision of information motivate people to fight climate change? Research Brief | 47th edition – May 2022

31.05.2022 Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre Panagiota Tzamourani

How are households’ consumption plans affected by the COVID-19 pandemic? Research Brief | 35th edition – November 2020

04.11.2020 Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre René Bernard, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre Panagiota Tzamourani, Michael Weber
Dr. Christian Schumacher

Dr. Christian Schumacher
Other Working Papers and Publications
Comments on “Short-term inflation projections: A Bayesian vector autoregressive approach” Schumacher C.

2014 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 30(3), pp. 645-647.

Bayesian estimation of sparse dynamic factor models with order-independent identification Kaufmann S., Schumacher C.

2013 | Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee, Working Papers, 13.04.

Money Demand in Europe: Evidence from Panel Cointegration Tests Schumacher C., Dreger C.

2004 | in: S. G. Hall, U. Heilemann and P. Pauly (eds.), Macroeconometric Models and European Monetary Union, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin.

Alternative Schätzansätze für das Produktionspotenzial im Euroraum Schumacher C.

2002 | HWWA Studien, Vol. 71, Nomos, Baden-Baden.
Refereed Publications
(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia Kliem M., Meyer-Gohde A.

2022 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 37(3), pp. 477-499.

Rebalancing the Euro Area: Is Wage Adjustment in Germany the Answer? Hoffmann M., Kliem M., Krause M., Moyen S., Sauer R.

2021 | Journal of International Money and Finance, Vol. 119, 102497.

Monetary-fiscal policy interaction and fiscal inflation: A tale of three countries Kliem M., Kriwoluzky A., Sarferaz S.

2016 | European Economic Review, Vol. 88, pp. 158-184.

On the low-frequency relationship between public deficits and inflation Kliem M., Kriwoluzky A., Sarferaz S.

2016 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 31(3), pp. 566-583.

Bayesian estimation of a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with asset prices Kliem M., Uhlig H.

2016 | Quantitative Economics, Vol. 7(1), pp. 257-287.

Toward a Taylor rule for fiscal policy Kliem M., Kriwoluzky A.

2014 | Review of Economic Dynamics, Vol. 17(2), pp. 294-302.

Reconciling narrative monetary policy disturbances with structural VAR model shocks? Kliem M., Kriwoluzky A.

2013 | Economics Letters, Vol. 121(2), pp. 247-251.

Assessing Macro-Financial Linkages: A Model Comparison Exercise Gerke R., Jonsson M., Kliem M., Kolasa M., Lafourcade P., Locarno A., Makarskic K., McAdam P.

2013 | Economic Modelling, Vol. 31(3), pp. 253-264.
Refereed Publications
Bayesian estimation of sparse dynamic factor models with order-independent and ex-post mode identification Kaufmann S., Schumacher C.

2019 | Journal of Econometrics, Vol. 210(1), pp. 116-134.

Identifying relevant and irrelevant variables in sparse factor models Kaufmann S., Schumacher C.

2017 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 32(6), pp. 1123-1144.

A comparison of MIDAS and bridge equations Schumacher C.

2016 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 32(2), pp. 257-270.

U-MIDAS: MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Foroni C., Marcellino M., Schumacher C.

2015 | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Vol. 178(1), pp. 57-82.

Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting GDP with many predictors: Empirical evidence for six industrialized countries Kuzin V., Marcellino M., Schumacher C.

2013 | Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 28(3), pp. 392-411.

Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials Foroni C., Marcellino M., Schumacher C.

2013 | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society, Volume 178, Issue 1, Pages 57–82

Forecasting with Factor Models Estimated on Large Datasets: A Review of the Recent Literature and Evidence for German GDP Schumacher, C.

2011 | Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Vol. 231(1), pp. 28-49.

MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area Kuzin V., Marcellino M., Schumacher C.

2011 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 27, pp. 529-542.

Factor forecasting using international targeted predictors: The case of German GDP Schumacher C.

2010 | Economics Letters, Vol. 107, pp. 95-98.

Factor MIDAS for Nowcasting and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP Marcellino M., Schumacher C.

2010 | Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 72, pp. 518-550.

Measuring uncertainty of the euro area NAIRU: Monte Carlo and empirical evidence for alternative confidence intervals in a state space framework Schumacher C.

2008 | Empirical Economics, Vol. 34(2), pp. 357-379.

Real-time forecasting of German GDP based on a large factor model with monthly and quarterly data Schumacher C., Breitung J.

2008 | International Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 24, pp. 368-398.

Forecasting German GDP using alternative factor models based on large datasets Schumacher C.

2007 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 26(4), pp. 271-302.

The Out-of-Sample Performance of Leading Indicators for the German Business Cycle: Single vs. Combined Forecasts Schumacher C., Dreger C.

2005 | Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, Vol. 2(1), pp. 71-88.

A comparison of mean square error approximations for a small estimated state space model Schumacher C.

2004 | Allgemeines Statistisches Archiv, Journal of the German Statistical Society, Vol. 88(3), pp. 327-345.

Estimating large-scale factor models for economic activity in Germany : Do they outperform simpler models? Schumacher C., Dreger C.

2004 | Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik, Vol. 224, pp. 732-750.

Are Real Interest Rates Cointegrated? Further evidence based on paneleconometric methods Schumacher C., Dreger C.

2003 | Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 139(1), pp. 41-53.

Forecasting trend output in the Euro area Schumacher C.

2002 | Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 21(8), pp. 543-558.
Dr. Martin Kliem

Dr. Martin Kliem

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